just starting

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-01-01/not-transitory-year-junk-bonds

marking it down

 It isn’t so much the selloff, though that is obviously important, but rather how increasingly the selloff is being treated as permanent.
It is the expression of an obvious and apparently durable shift in risk perceptions, and I think it the most significant development. You can see it clearly in the changes this year to last. After the selloffs in October and December 2014, junk was bid in clear bargain hunting patterns of behavior. The rebound after last December lasted months and was quite significant even if it didn’t quite bring prices and yields quite back to the full comfort of prior complacency.
This year, each discrete selloff was met instead by listlessness and palpable uninterest, including the past week or so after what was undoubtedly the most intense selloff yet. That leaves the waves of selling only pushing the idea of the continuation in the credit cycle further and further remote; bringing instead the sense of doom closer and closer. This alteration in outlook and perception really could not be more unmistakable:





Comments